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U.S. Intelligence Predicts Conflicts
The U.S. National Intelligence Council has prepared a report on the planet’s future for the next 15 years, Agence France Presse reported on Thursday. The intelligence service foresees a growing threat of the use of nuclear arms. It also predicts that global warming will benefit Russia and the U.S. dollar will lose its dominant role as a world currency. The agency prepares a report every four years. This year’s report is entitled “Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World.”
The excerpts from the report published by the Associated Press indicate that global warming will increase access to oil fields in Russia and Canada and strengthen the economies of those countries. Russia’s prosperity is threatened by organized crime, corruption and lack of investments, however. The analysts also stated that organized crime may take control over the government of one Central-Eastern European country. Countries in Africa and South Asia can expect destabilization and weakening government control. The role of non-Arab Islamic countries in the world, particularly of Indonesia and Turkey, will grow. Iran may become stronger, if it rejects its theocratic regime.
The global role of the United States will decrease as it redirects its resources inward to fight domestic problems. Its economic power will suffer from increasing energy dependence and the dollar will become “first among equals” among world currencies.
On the whole, the world will become more explosive because of increasing struggles over food, water and energy resources. Aggressive nationalistic regimes and terrorist groups will become more active and will have greater access to nuclear weapons. The Al-Qaeda network may soon go into decline, however, because the extreme ideology of the terrorists and their inability to achieve their unrealistic goals do not allow them to become a mass movement.
AFP reports that the Barack Obama transition team is being familiarized with the contents of the report.
www.kommersant.com
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